Box-Office Wrap-Up: ‘Transformers 3’ Tops 2011 Box-Office So Far with Good Showing from ‘Horrible Bosses’
By
Brad Brevet
Laremy is now on a ten week roll when it comes to predicting the #1 film at the box-office. I’m sure that streak will continue next weekend with the release of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2, but looking ahead I wonder, will it be the weekend with Crazy, Stupid, Love and Cowboys and Aliens that finally trips him up?
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 10 Weeks In A Row
Horrible Bosses managed to do a little better than I thought it would over Saturday and Sunday after its estimated $9.9 million Friday haul as the R-rated comedy managed to open even higher than Bridesmaids did earlier this year, but still lower than Bad Teacher. I just have to wonder if it will end closer to Bridesmaids or Bad Teacher numbers or somehow settle somewhere in-between once all is said and done?
Laremy was very close with this $29 million prediction while Winchester came even closer on the reader side of things with a $27.8 million prediction, just edging out Gophers Attack!’s $28.8 million pick.
Result: $28.1 million Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $29.092 million, which is $0.992m off for a 3.53% error.
While Horrible Bosses did better than I thought it would over the weekend, as R-rated films tend to dip from their Friday numbers, Zookeeper did worse than I thought it would for a family-designed PG film that opened with an estimated $7.4 million on Friday. Perhaps this is a sign that parents didn’t rush home to tell their friends to take their kids to the talking animal film that really doesn’t seem to me to be a film that would hold much interest for children.
Perhaps what’s most surprising about this film is the reported $80 million budget. That is some serious money being spent.
Laremy’s pick was once again quite close and Winchester again nails it with his $21 million prediction. Add that to Winchester’s Horrible Bosses prediction and Dark of the Moon prediction ($47.5 million) and that’s a trifecta. Nice work!
Result: $21 million Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $19.151 million, which is $1.849m off for a 8.8% error.
Cars 2 dipped 42% this weekend and now sits at $148.8 million domestically. I previously said this may be Pixar’s first film to not reach $200 million after it dropped 60.3% in its second weekend, but it looks like there may now be a smidge of a chance it will come close to Ratatouille‘s $206 million.
Result: $15.2 million Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $13.662 million, which is $1.538m off for a 10.12% error.
A 38% dip for Bad Teacher in its third weekend as it now sits just under $79 million overall on just a $20 million budget. That’s a solid use of funds.
Result: $9 million Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $6.89 million, which is $2.11m off for a 23.44% error.
After a meager $13 million opening, a 52.2% dip for the Tom Hanks and Julia Roberts rom-com isn’t very impressive. Now up to about $26.5 million domestically it is nearing its $30 million budget, which means the film won’t end up in the red once everything is considered, but I don’t think Larry Crowne will be looked at as a model for future films.
Result: $6.2 million Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $6.548 million, which is $0.348m off for a 5.61% error.
Up to $118 million domestically and $45 million internationally at last count. All on a $50 million budget with DVD and Blu-ray sales still to come. This was just one of the films that helped Paramount become 2011’s only studio so far to reach $1 billion in ticket sales. It was the fifth fastest studio to reach the billion mark in a single year at 184 days on a list where the top six are dominated by Paramount in the last five years.
Result: $4.8 million Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5.263 million, which is $0.463m off for a 9.65% error.
Mr. Popper’s Penguins dipped 48.5% and now sits at $57.7 million on a $50 million budget. Foreign numbers so far are $11 million on this bad boy. Think it will go any higher?
Result: $2.8 million Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $2.214 million, which is $0.586m off for a 20.93% error.
In other news, Midnight in Paris may be able to eek into the top ten once actuals are announced as it took in another $2.7 million this weekend and is now up to $38.6 million, inching ever so close to topping Woody Allen’s previous domestic box-office record of $40 million with Hannah and Her Sisters 25 years ago.
