Box-Office Wrap-Up: Break Out the Candy, ‘Hop’ Dominates the Box-Office

No major surprises in what amounts to a rather uninteresting box-office weekend, at least in my opinion. But let’s break it down and see if anything happened of any consequence.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 1 Weeks In A Row
Source Code‘s opening was less than the $20 million Laremy predicted, but I don’t think any of us are all that surprised. I know John PT isn’t, with his $15.4 million prediction just edging out Bustray’s $15.5 million.
Result: $15 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $20.73 million, which is $5.73m off for a 38.2% error.
FilmDistrict has to be happy with its first release as Insidious performed well and based on the film’s ending and the fact it comes from the folks that spawned seven Saw films and now three Paranormal Activity films. Yeah, considering the film has a reported budget of $1.5 million and was an acquisition you can pretty much put Insidious 2 on your 2012 calendar.
Result: $13.4 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $13.24 million, which is $0.16m off for a 1.19% error.
A 57% drop for the holdover and Laremy damn near nailed it. Wimpy Kid 2 is now up to $38 million. Is there a third Wimpy Kid book for them to mine?
Result: $10.2 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $10.46 million, which is $0.26m off for a 2.55% error.
I was told this weekend by a friend that while they were watching this film all they could think of was that it was a film meant for Matthew McConaughey, but since he was making The Lincoln Lawyer they went with the next best thing. I have no idea if the two films shot at the same time, but do you see Bradley Cooper as the next Matt McC? If so, is that a good thing for Cooper?
Result: $9.4 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $10.66 million, which is $1.26m off for a 13.4% error.
Speaking of The Lincoln Lawyer, both it and Limitless continue to hold on strong, dropping 34% and 37% respectively. Perhaps there’s something to the McConaughey/Cooper comparison.
Result: $7 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $6.32 million, which is $0.68m off for a 9.71% error.
Laremy and I have considered creating badges for the films in the Box-Office Wrap-Up, which would mean Sucker Punch would get the “Drop of the Week” badge as it fell 68% from last weekend’s second place perch for a $29 million cume. I’ve pretty much beat this film to death so I will just let the numbers do the talking now.
Result: $6 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $7.05 million, which is $1.05m off for a 17.5% error.
Rango continues to stick around and is now up to $113.7 million, which is a number that sounds great only because 2011 has been filled with under-performers. But given the film’s $135 million reported budget it’s not as great as it seems.
Result: $4.5 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $5.3 million, which is $0.8m off for a 17.78% error.
9. Paul
I can’t bring myself to muster up the interest to go see this one. Anyone out there see it and see any reason why I shouldn’t just wait for it on Blu-ray?
Result: $4.3 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $3.91 million, which is $0.39m off for a 9.07% error.
Up to $78 million and I’m sure we’ll be hearing about the DVD/Blu-ray release any day.
Result: $3.5 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $3.3 million, which is $0.2m off for a 5.71% error.

Hop was the per theater champ with $10,650 per, but and Oscar’s Best Foreign Language winner, In a Better World was second in that category, opening in 4 theaters and taking in $35,400 for a $8,850 average.

In its third weekend, Win Win took hom $1.1 million and the PG-13 version of The King’s Speech mustered up $1.1 million from 1,007 theaters.

David Schwimmer’s Trust took home $60,000 from 28 theaters and IFC’s Super took home $52,800 from 11 theaters.

Anyone care to offer up early thoughts on next week’s releases? Will it be Arthur or Your Highness at number one? Or will Hop repeat? Either way, chances look good for Russell Brand to star in the #1 film in the U.S. two weeks straight… and everyone says he’s just for Brits.

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