As of this moment, I don’t have the top twelve films clearing the $100m mark. Yikes. Perhaps you’re feeling more bullish, but here is my reasoning …
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 3 Weeks In A Row
A 41 percent dip, pretty solid all things considered. But the money has to go somewhere, right?
Prediction: $11.61 million
3. The Mechanic
The precedent isn’t there to put it at Transporter 3‘s per theater average. But there isn’t any football to compete with this weekend, so this could be a surprise earner.
Prediction: $10.81 million
I feel like it will do well internationally. It’s not dark, it is slightly generic, and it isn’t too difficult to follow. That will help overseas, or at least they are hoping that’s the case, because the $100m + production budget is still weighing them down.
Prediction: $10.42 million
I am accelerating the decline because I think Oscar Noms won’t act as a kingmaker this year. I hope they do, I just didn’t see a clear champ emerge from the nominations.
Prediction: $8.95 million
6. True Grit
I loved The Coen Bros. take on True Grit’s nominations. “‘Ten Seems Like an Awful Lot’.” Nah, fellas, you earned ’em.
Prediction: $4.95 million
8. Black Swan
Is Portman really going to beat out Bening? What happened to paying your dues? Note: I’m cheering for Portman.
Prediction: $4.23 million
9. 127 Hours
Gaining almost 900 theaters this weekend in an Oscar push. I really hope it works, but the release schedule has been completely wonky up to this point.
Prediction: $2.75 million
So that’s around $83m total for my top ten. Not ideal. If you see a different outcome, where will the money go? Better yet, where will it come from? Comment away, I’ll be checking in and Brad will be back on SAG Sunday to wrap this thing up!
