#1 movie predicted correctly: 5 Weeks in a Row
This prediction is high, I know, I’m only knocking it 25 percent. But it’s only getting stronger, and word of mouth is carrying the day. Get ready for a flood of Sandra Bullock stories come Monday.
Estimate: $30.1 million
This, on the other hand, is soooooo November. The teens have moved on, and it will fall 58 percent this weekend. Twilight went from a 62 percent drop to a 50 percent drop. So it follows that New Moon will go from a 70 percent bleed to a 58 percent dip.
Estimate: $18.0 million
3. 2012
It performed admirably last weekend, and the lack of competition will help prop it up for one more round.
Estimate: $11.1 million
I read on another site that this wasn’t a “flop” but the numbers don’t lie. A reported $200m production budget is difficult to justify without some huge box-office.
Estimate: $8.5 million
Evidently a site called this the “Best Ninja Movie Ever?” Have they not seen American Ninja? I’m dipping it 45 percent just for hubris.
Estimate: $7.3 million
7. Brothers
The acting is tremendous. But I can’t imagine people are going to want to take this in given the trailers. It just looks too bleak for mass consumption.
Estimate: $7.3 million
8. Planet 51
Traditionally, the first weekend in December is a wasteland. Does anyone know why that would be? Perhaps everyone is too tuckered out from family and Thanksgiving?
Estimate: $6.6 million
Another well-executed film that has no real audience, though I don’t get why De Niro isn’t receiving a little more Oscar heat. He’s quite good here.
Estimate: $6.4 million
10. Armored
It’s either this or Fantastic Mr. Fox in the tenth slot. They aren’t screening this one for critics, which, even if you hate critics, isn’t a real good sign.
Estimate: $6.3 million
How say you? Am I too bullish on Blind Side? Will New Moon make another run? Or am I sleeping on a new release? Drop some knowledge on us in the comment section, predictions requested early and often.
