The buzz around Red One has fans asking, will the movie flop at the box office, or will it defy the odds? Directed by Jake Kasdan, this Christmas action-adventure comedy featuring Dwayne Johnson and Chris Evans has certainly garnered excitement. Yet, despite the star-studded cast, industry projections suggest that Red One’s chances of box office success are low.
So, will Dwayne Johnson’s Red One flop or succeed at the box office? Here are the reasons some are predicting that the movie will not be successful.
Will Red One flop at the box office?
Several factors suggest that Red One may struggle at the box office. Initially planned as a streaming release, the film shifted to a theatrical debut with a massive budget of $250 million, excluding marketing. Yet, opening weekend estimates forecast only $30-35 million in revenue, raising questions about its ability to break even. Given that studios typically retain only 40-60% of box office earnings and the rest goes to theaters, Red One may face challenges in recovering production costs through theaters alone.
The competition presents a major challenge for Red One. The film will face tough competition from major releases like Moana 2, Gladiator II, and Wicked, all of which are also set to come out in theaters in November. So, in this crowded landscape, Red One may struggle to stand out, impacting its overall performance.
Moreover, even Johnson’s last release, Black Adam, opened at a modest $67 million domestically, setting a challenging precedent for Red One.
While Red One may face challenges at the box office, it still has the potential to succeed on streaming platforms after its theatrical release. As the countdown to the November 15 release continues, only time will reveal whether Red One will defy expectations or fall short, confirming concerns about it flopping in theaters.
