As the 2024 presidential campaign heats up, newly released polling data for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump on October 1 has garnered widespread interest. As the race remains tightly contested, the polls highlight the sharp divides among voters. These figures provide valuable insights into both national dynamics and key battleground states as the election approaches.
Here’s a breakdown of the latest polling results and their potential implications for the candidates as Election Day draws closer.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for October 1
As of October 1, 2024, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 4.2% in national polls. Harris is polling at 50.0%, while Trump stands at 45.8% (via The Hill).
Some recent national polls include the Outward Intelligence (September 23-27), where Harris leads by 6 points, with 53% to Trump’s 47%. The Napolitan News Service Survey poll (September 24-26) shows Harris ahead by 2 points, polling at 50% to 48%. In the Big Village poll (September 24-26), Harris leads 48.6% to Trump’s 43.9%, a 5-point difference.
However, state polls tell a different story, revealing close contests in key battlegrounds.
In Arizona, Trump holds a narrow 0.8% lead, with polls from AtlasIntel and Beacon Research/Shaw showing him slightly ahead by 1 to 2 points. Trump also leads in Florida, with a 1.9% advantage. Polls from Public Policy Polling and Victory Insights place him 2 to 4 points ahead in the state.
In Pennsylvania, Harris is up by 0.6%. AtlasIntel reports a 3-point lead for Trump, but Patriot Polling shows Harris ahead by 1 point. In Michigan, Harris leads by 0.6%, with The New York Times/Siena College Poll showing her slightly ahead, while AtlasIntel gives Trump a 3-point lead.
In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 1.7%. Siena College and ActiVote polls show her ahead by 1 to 2 points. However, AtlasIntel reports Trump leading by 2 points. Georgia remains a toss-up. Trump holds a slim 0.2% lead according to AtlasIntel, while Beacon Research/Shaw shows Harris up by 3 points.
Harris holds a 2.2% lead in Nevada. AtlasIntel and TIPP Insight show her ahead by 3 to 4 points. However, Quantus Insights places Trump slightly ahead. In New Hampshire, Harris leads by 4.9%. Polls from the University of New Hampshire show her ahead by 5 to 7 points. In North Carolina, Trump has a 0.5% lead. AtlasIntel gives Harris a 2-point advantage, while Bloomberg News/Morning Consult places Trump 3 points ahead.
The 2024 race remains highly competitive, with both candidates leading in different battleground states. As the election approaches, the contest will likely remain close, with the outcomes in critical swing states determining the final result.
