As the 2024 presidential race intensifies, fresh polling data for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, released on September 30, has drawn significant attention. With the race remaining highly competitive, these polls underscore the deep divisions within the electorate. The numbers offer crucial insights into national trends and pivotal battleground states as the election nears.
Below is an overview of the most recent polling results and what they might mean for the candidates heading into Election Day.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for September 30
As of September 30, 2024, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 4.2% in national polls. Harris is polling at 50.0%, while Trump stands at 45.8% (via The Hill). Recent national polls from Outward Intelligence, Napolitan News Service Survey, and Big Village show Harris ahead by 2 to 6 points. However, state polls reveal a closer contest in key battlegrounds.
In Arizona, Trump holds a 0.8% lead, with AtlasIntel and Beacon Research/Shaw showing him slightly ahead. Trump has a 2.0% advantage in Florida, with polls from Public Policy Polling and Emerson College showing him up by 1 to 4 points.
In Pennsylvania, Harris is up by 1.1%. AtlasIntel shows Trump leading by 3 points, while Bloomberg News/Morning Consult has Harris ahead by 3 points. Michigan remains tight, with Harris leading by 0.6%. The New York Times/Siena College polls report Harris slightly ahead, though AtlasIntel shows Trump with a 3-point lead.
In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 1.6%. The New York Times/Siena College poll and Morning Consult show her ahead by 1 to 2 points, while AtlasIntel shows Trump with a 2-point advantage. Georgia shows Trump leading by 0.2%, with AtlasIntel giving him a 1-point lead. However, Beacon Research/Shaw shows Harris up by 3 points.
Harris holds a 2.2% lead in Nevada, with AtlasIntel and TIPP Insight showing her up by 3 to 4 points. Quantus Insights, however, shows Trump slightly ahead. In New Hampshire, Harris leads by 4.9%, with polls from the University of New Hampshire placing her ahead by 5 to 7 points. In North Carolina, Trump leads by 0.5%. AtlasIntel shows Harris ahead by 2 points, while Bloomberg News/Morning Consult places Trump up by 3.
This election remains close, with both candidates holding small leads in critical swing states. The race is expected to stay competitive as the final weeks approach.
