As the 2024 presidential campaign heats up, new polling numbers for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, published on September 27, have captured widespread interest. With the candidates in a tight race, the polls highlight a starkly polarized electorate. This data provides key insights into both national and state-level voter preferences as Election Day approaches.
Below is a breakdown of the latest polling trends and their potential implications for the upcoming election.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for September 27
As of September 27, 2024, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 4.1% in national polls, with Harris at 49.9% and Trump at 45.8% (via The Hill).
Recent polls from Outward Intelligence, Big Village, and Echelon Insights show Harris maintaining a lead of 5 to 7 points nationally. In Arizona, Trump holds a 1% advantage, with polls from Beacon Research/Shaw and Marist College both showing Trump slightly ahead. In Florida, Trump leads by 1.1%. Polls from Independent Center and Emerson College confirm his advantage, with margins ranging from 1 to 4 points.
In Pennsylvania, Harris is up by 1.3%. Rasmussen Reports shows Harris leading 50% to 49%, while Susquehanna Polling reports a tie. In Michigan, Harris holds a narrow lead of 1.1%. Emerson College and Marist College polls both show Harris slightly ahead.
In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 1.9%. RMG Research reports a narrow 1-point lead for Harris, while Emerson College has Trump ahead by 2 points. In Georgia, Trump holds a 0.3% lead, though YouGov/CBS News has Trump up by 2 points, and Marist College shows Harris ahead by 1 point, highlighting the state’s volatility.
Harris is up by 2.1% in Nevada, with Emerson College showing a near-tie, while Quantus Insights gives Harris a slight lead. In New Hampshire, Harris leads by 4.9%, based on recent polls showing her ahead by 5 to 7 points. Finally, North Carolina remains highly competitive, with Trump leading by 0.5%. Polls from Marist College show Harris up by 1 point, while Independent Center reports a 1-point lead for Trump.
This election continues to be tightly contested, with both candidates holding small leads in critical battleground states.
