Box-Office Wrap-Up: ‘Dolphin Tale’ Tops a Weak Week as Not One of Four Newcomers Can Crack $10 Million

Poor Laremy, always late to the party. This week he finally decided to back The Lion King in 3D in its third weekend, but it would seem he is one week too late as the box-office simply would not allow a 17-year-old film to take the #1 spot once again. Then again, winning the weekend is a two-week-old film as not one of the week’s four competing new releases couldn’t crack $10 million. The September doldrums have hopefully come to an end…
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 0 Weeks In A Row

Dolphin Tale

A tiny drop for the two-week-old film and yet the #1 movie this weekend couldn’t even top $15 million. Other than that I’m having a hard time finding anything else to say here.
Weekend: $14.2 million (25.6% drop)

Cummulative Total: $37.5 million

RottenTomatoes Score: 83%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 and his prediction of $11.5 million was $2.7m off for a percentage error of 19.01%.
I imagine Moneyball will continue to have drops in the 30 percentile for the next couple of weeks, but I have to admit I’m surprised this film hasn’t done better. It’s a shame really.
Weekend: $12.5 million (-35.9% drop) / Cume: $38.4 million / RottenTomatoes: 95%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $11.31 million, which is $1.19m off for a 9.52% error.
I am using the cume for the 3D edition this week, but the domestic lifetime gross of this animated classic is now up to $408 million.
Weekend: $11 million (-49.8% drop) / Cume: $79.6 million / RottenTomatoes: 89%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 with $14.7 million, which is $3.7m off for a 33.64% error.
Hey look! It’s a new movie and of the new releases I saw I’m happy to see the best of them took home the most money, but the fact it couldn’t even bring home $10 million is unfortunate. This is a good film, but I assume it’s a film many people look at and assume they can just wait to see at home. I’m sure that R-rating doesn’t help it either.

As far as predictions go, Laremy over-estimated its chances as did Chris Etrata, but Chris’s $9 million prediction remains the closest on the board. What’s interesting is a lot of you predicted it to finish first, some as high as $16 million. I wish you’d been right.

Weekend: $8.85 million / RottenTomatoes: 92%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $11 million, which is $2.15m off for a 24.29% error.
It was in only 1,161 theaters, but it didn’t have the best per theater average of the week, I’ll tell you who won that in the conclusion, but this pic had a nice showing, far better than Laremy thought it would.

When it comes to predictions, let’s give Ian a round of applause for a spot-on $8.8 million prediction. Good on yah Ian.

Weekend: $8.8 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5.5 million, which is $3.3m off for a 37.5% error.
The film they wouldn’t show anyone and when they went to see it they didn’t like it, at least that’s what the 5% RottenTomatoes rating tells me, though the B CinemaScore says audiences weren’t too upset. Then again, it’s hard to walk out of a theater and admit the movie you just paid hard earned money for didn’t impress.

On the prediction end, Laremy was a little high, but John PT stands out with an $8.1 million prediction. Close.

Weekend: $8.2 million / RottenTomatoes: 5%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $9.3 million, which is $1.1m off for a 13.41% error.
Hey look, another five percenter. I wonder who will be next to take a gamble on Taylor Lautner being the next big action star.
Weekend: $5.65 million (-48.2% drop) / Cume: $19.1 million / RottenTomatoes: 5%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $5.1 million, which is $0.55m off for a 9.73% error.
Sheesh, I guess everyone either forgot how much they liked The House Bunny, or they watched the atrocious trailers for this film. Problem is, while the film isn’t necessarily great, the trailers don’t do it any justice. If you want to sell audiences an R-rated comedy at least hint that your movie is R-rated.

And we have another close prediction on this one. No, not from Laremy, who basically had a terrible weekend on most every front, but from Dennis with a $5.5 million prediction. Very nice.

Weekend: $5.6 million / RottenTomatoes: 22%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $10.5 million, which is $4.9m off for a 87.5% error.
I think a $64.7 million cume so far is quite good for this pic. The $60 million budget is unfortunately large, but it’s about to hit the international scene and we may see a nice return provided people everywhere else want to watch a killer virus take out the population.
Weekend: $5 million (-40.5% drop) / Cume: $64.7 million / RottenTomatoes: 84%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $5.49 million, which is $0.49m off for a 9.8% error.
This is a movie in theaters… Let’s move on to the conclusion.
Weekend: $4.8 million (-48.4% drop) / Cume: $17.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 25%

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $4.58 million, which is $0.22m off for a 4.58% error.

So, the film that took the best per theater average is one you probably haven’t heard of… Munger Road, released in one theater took home $38,900. I’m assuming you can do the math on that per theater average. As far as the films you’ve heard of, Take Shelter took home $56,200 from three theaters for an $18,733 per theater average.

The week’s per theater losers was Sarah Palin – You Betcha! opening in six theaters and taking in a whopping $7,400. I guess a film that pretty much features a guy going out to do his very best to embarrass someone, even if it’s Sarah Palin, isn’t interesting to anyone… as it shouldn’t be.

And finally, Kenneth Lonergan’s Margaret starring Matt Damon and Anna Paquin took home only $7,500 from two theaters.

Next week I think we’ll finally see some box-office movement, or at least a champ that makes over $20 million as Real Steel and The Ides of March will be the week’s two big releases along with limited release features 1911 and Dirty Girl. I’m curious, do you see Ides or Real Steel managing over $30 million next weekend?

Check out our complete Box-Office charts here and

subscribe to our updated Box-Office RSS feed here
Movie News
Marvel and DC
X