Clearly, Green Lantern will take the crown. The real art this weekend can be distilled down to four pertinent questions:
- Will Green Lantern stumble by Sunday based on reviews and/or word of mouth?
- Will people avoid Popper’s Penguins like the plague?
- Where do you put the holdover prospects for Super 8 and Midnight in Paris?
Let’s break it down!
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 6 Weeks In A Row
2. Super 8
I’m taking this is as a surprise silver medalist, only dipping it 45 percent. It just has too much family appeal to ding any more than that.
Prediction: $19.49 million
“Take your pops to see Popper’s Penguins” is only good advice if you really hate your dad. Feels very Marmaduke to me.
Prediction: $18.65 million
Will certainly be hurt by Green Lantern entering the marketplace. $237m worldwide on a production budget of $160m, so they’ve still go some work to do here.
Prediction: $12.29 million
My guess is they’ll make the third one for less than $150m.
Prediction: $11.58 million
Proof positive that it is hard to lose money on a sequel, no matter the quality.
Prediction: $10.95 million
7. Bridesmaids
Six weekends in the top ten, and a 4x multiplier domestically.
Prediction: $7.66 million
Is a billion dollars worldwide still in play? I can tell you this much, it is Disney’s largest overseas earner of all-time with a gross of $695.9 million and is currently fourth overall at the international box-office behind Avatar with $2 billion, Titanic with $1.2 billion and The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King with $742.1 million, the latter of which it is expected to surpass. Did you see that coming?
Prediction: $5.94 million
By far the best film in the top ten, it’s still unlikely to sniff Woody Allen’s domestic dollar champ, Manhattan (once adjusted for inflation).
Prediction: $5.77 million
Last year on this weekend Toy Story 3 hit $110m. Bummer for 2011!
Prediction: $3.22 million
How say you? Throw out your predictions, don’t be shy, there’s strength in numbers.
