Guess how many films have repeated as a weekend champion this year? If you answered “zero” you’re dead on, but all that looks to change this weekend as Russell Brand outduels himself at the box office. Let’s break it down!
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 1 Week In A Row
2. Arthur
The tracking suggests an opening right around here, which will leave Russell Brand in the top two slots. I know that’s happened a few times in the past few years, but it’s impervious to my Google searches.
Prediction: $17.6 million
The one thing this film isn’t short on: F-bombs. Still, I wonder if they should have cut a few and aimed for PG-13. That factor (plus a 600-theater disparity) will cost it third place this weekend.
Prediction: $16.9 million
4. Hanna
The tracking is much lower on this film but I’m holding out hope. I like the look of the trailer, and I don’t think $5,750 per theater is too bullish.
Prediction: $14.38 million
5. Soul Surfer
It’s only getting 2100 theaters, and it’s tough to predict where the support will come from. The church crowd? Teens? Surfers? Those are fickle dollars to come by. Still, this is the film I’m most likely to be $4m off in either direction on. Call it the wildcard of the weekend.
Prediction: $10.5 million
6. Source Code
The budget was a slimmed-down $32m, though I’m not entirely certain where they spent that even. I enjoyed the film, no question, but trains and flashcuts aren’t prohibitively expensive to create.
Prediction: $9.18 million
7. Insidious
The biggest dipper of the weekend, but there’s no shame in that number as horror films usually plummet even more.
Prediction: $5.97 million
8. Limitless
I was rummaging around my desk the other day and came across some NZT the studio sent out as promotional material. Should I take it? Anything to make the predictions stronger, right? Speaking of strong, $80m worldwide on a $27m production budget means happy times for Relativity.
Prediction: $5.79 million
It’s following the exact financial path of the original, and that one put up a 5x multiplier against production budget. Fox will take it.
Prediction: $5.01 million
Once you adjust for inflation, A Time to Kill is still Matt McConaughey’s biggest film. Sequel time?
Prediction: $4.09 million
How say you? It’s a legitimate horse race for the crown this weekend, so no prediction will be deemed too outlandish. Comments away!
