Box-Office Wrap-Up: Nov. 28 – Nov. 30, 2008

Upset! The tween hit Twilight was even more frontloaded than we thought. A 62% drop means that all those people seeing it four times opening weekend finally got tired.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
Nice win for Vince Vaughn and Reese Witherspoon. I thought this would do a little less than Fred Claus but at $9500 per theater it crushed that one. As it turns out having a decent premise (as opposed to a terrible one) helps.
Result: 31.6 million (My rank: #2, $13.4m off)
2. Bolt
Obviously this was a much stronger weekend than I projected. Bad economy? What bad economy?
Result: 26.5 million (My rank: #3, $12.1m off)
Amazingly, Bolt actually made more money than it did opening weekend while Twilight fell huge. But I suppose that just tells us that parents needed something for the smaller kids to do this weekend.
Result: 26.3 million (My rank: #1, $4.4m off)
In the last edition of Oracle someone mentioned they didn’t like this film. Really? What’s not to like? Sure, it didn’t have much plot, but it’s not like you go in expecting an amazing story. Having solid fight scenes was enough for me.
Result: 19.5 million (My rank: #4, $7.1m off)
Still, it did better than I thought it would. Look for it to plummet next weekend as word gets out.
Result: 14.8 million (My rank: #5, $2.9m off)
Nothing like having a movie double the projection. This one stands at $217m worldwide on a budget of $150m. So they’ve still got a ton of work to do given the studio / theater split.
Result: 14.5 million (My rank: #7, $7.0m off)
It fully deserved this beating. Shame on you Transporter 3, shame on you.
Result: 12.3 million (My rank: #6, $1.3m off)
At $58m on a budget of $28m they should be set. I do sort of wonder what they spent the money on though. Is Paul Rudd clocking dollars these days?
Result: 5.2 million (My rank: #8, $1.1m off)
In my defense, around 200,000 Americans saw this one this weekend. I can’t keep track of 1/1500th of the country.
Result: 1.6 million (My rank: Not Ranked)
10. Milk
A sweltering $38k per theater! Yowsers. This bodes well for the overall box office hopes, perhaps they can crack $50m with this little message film that could.
Result: 1.3 million (My rank: Not Ranked)
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