As the 2024 presidential race heats up, fresh polling data from October 8 for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump has garnered significant attention. With both candidates locked in a competitive battle, the latest numbers shed light on the deepening voter divisions. These figures provide a valuable glimpse into national trends and offer a clearer understanding of how key battleground states are shaping the contest.
Here’s an in-depth look at the most recent polling data and its potential impact on both campaigns as Election Day approaches.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll results for October 8
As of October 8, 2024, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 3.4% in national polls. Harris is polling at 50.0%, while Trump stands at 46.6%, according to The Hill.
The national polls, including Research Co. (October 5–7), place Harris ahead by 5 points, while Big Village (October 3–5) and TIPP Insight (October 3–5) show Harris with a lead of 4 and 3 points, respectively.
The state polls present a tighter race. In Arizona, Trump holds a 1.2% lead, with RMG Research (October 1–3) showing him up by 4 points, while Arizona’s Family/HighGround Poll (September 27–30) shows Harris ahead by 2 points. In Florida, Trump leads by 2.8%, with ActiVote (September 18–October 7) giving him a 6-point advantage.
While in Pennsylvania, Harris holds a slim 0.2% lead, though The Democracy Institute (October 3–4) shows Trump ahead by 4 points. In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 0.6%, but The Democracy Institute shows Trump with a 2-point edge. Similarly, in Georgia, Trump has a 0.7% lead, with Quinnipiac University (September 26–30) placing him 5 points ahead.
Other battleground states, such as Ohio, see Trump with a more comfortable lead of 6.9%, as shown by ActiVote (August 29–October 1) and YouGov/Bowling Green (September 19–28). North Carolina also leans toward Trump, with a 0.7% lead supported by InsiderAdvantage (September 30–October 1), and in New Hampshire, Harris holds a 2% lead with The Democracy Institute‘s (October 3–4) poll.
The race remains extremely competitive across key battleground states, with Harris maintaining a narrow national lead but facing strong challenges in critical swing states.
